A pair of solid National league teams square off for a four-game set at Oracle Park in San Francisco on Thursday night.
The Milwaukee Brewers (49-40) will head West after a bit of a rough stretch losing their last two series and splitting with the Twins. Similarly, the San Francisco Giants (42-40) are just two games above .500 and are looking to win their first series since mid-June.
This is also the second time this season that these two clubs have faced off, with the Giants winning their only meeting 4-2. With Corbin Burnes on the mound for the Brewers, Milwaukee will be the -190 favorites on the road, while the Giants are +170 underdogs at home despite winning their last series. Let’s take a closer look at how these two contenders stack up.
Milwaukee Brewers Travel to the West Coast
The Brewers are once again in first place in the NL Central Division, but they have been having a difficult time during a patch of uneven play. The Brewers’ record over their previous ten games was merely 4-6 going into this series, and they have lost three of their last four.
Milwaukee just finished a series versus Minnesota that saw them split the series. The Brew Crew will have a good chance to bounce back with their Ace Corbin Burnes on the mound in Game One.
Burnes is having an elite year with a 2.20 ERA, including allowing just one run and four hits in 13 innings in July. This season, the Milwaukee pitching staff has been solid, posting a 3.78 ERA and 1.24 WHIP while holding batters to a .233 batting average.
The Brewers’ offense hasn’t been as stellar as they rank 23rd in the league in batting average (.235) and 15th in on base percentage (314). The Brewers’ offense has been well-supported by team leaders in home runs (Willy Adames) and batting average (Mike Brosseau), which has kept them just outside the top ten in runs per game.
San Francisco Giants Take First Series Since June 15th
The San Francisco Giants come into this one playing a lot better in the last week, having won four of their last five games with a record of 45-42 this year. San Francisco recently defeated Arizona in a series and grabbed their first series win in a month.
The San Francisco pitching staff has not replicated the same results they did a year ago during their 107-win season, and their stats demonstrate that. The pitching stats are allowing opponents to hit .252, and they rank 19th in the league with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP.
Offensively for the Giants this year, Wilmer Flores leads the team with 13 home runs and is batting .254 with 50 RBI, and Austin Slater has been a key contributor hitting .287 with five home runs. Despite having the 22nd highest team batting average overall, this club is scoring the third most runs per game.
These two teams coming into this series couldn’t be more opposite in this one. After a brief two-game series in Minnesota, the Brewers had to fly to the west coast for this lengthy weekend series. The Giants, on the other hand, have been playing the Diamondbacks while staying in California all week.
This should be one of the more exciting games of the day, however, with both teams sending their aces to the hill. I fully expect this to be a low-scoring affair, especially in the pitching-friendly confines of Oracle Park.
That being said, I like the team with the hot hand in this one to win this game. The Giants have turned things up this last week, scoring more runs and winning their first series in almost a month. The Brewers will make the cross-country trip and are struggling with the bats as well as dealing with some injuries.
For that reason, I expect the Giants to win with one comfortably.
Betting Pick: Giants ML (+170)
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