It’s an AFC West divisional battle and a pivotal one at that. The Kansas City Chiefs head to Hollywood to face the Los Angeles Chargers for Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET at Sofi Stadium.
The Chiefs (7-2) have a two-game lead over the Chargers (5-4), who hope to narrow the gap. The first time around, the Chiefs won 27-24 on Sept. 15 at Arrowhead stadium, and that was four days after their season opener.
The Chiefs are favored by 5 points with an over/under of 52 points. Those have grown from the opening line of Chiefs -6.5 with a total of 49.5 points. The Chiefs are favored on the moneyline at -250, down from -293, while the Chargers are underdogs at +210, down from +249.
Chiefs look to extend winning streak
Kansas City has won three straight games and features the best offense in the NFL. The Chiefs score 30 points per game to top the league and are second in total offense at 423.1 yards per game.
Defensively, however, there have been some struggles, particularly through the air. The Chiefs allow 248.4 passing yards per NFL game, ranking sixth worst. They are fifth in rushing yards allowed per game with 99.0 for a total defense that is league average (347.4). They are 19th in allowing 22.9 points per game and third worst with seven takeaways.
The Chiefs have a lengthy injury report at skill positions and may be limited at wide receiver with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Mecole Hardman either out indefinitely or questionable. Running backs Jerrick McKinnon (questionable) and Isaac Pacheco (probable) are also on the report.
Pivotal divisional game for Chargers
Fortunately, it is a great matchup for quarterback Justin Herbert who hopes to pull the Chargers within a game of their divisional rivals. The offense is fifth in passing at 265.3 yards per game and third worst in rushing at 84.9 yards per game. A total yardage of 14th is 350.2, while scoring is league average at 22.2 points per game. Their ten turnovers is 11th.
Defensively there have been issues, ranking fourth worst in allowing 25.3 points per game and 21st in 356.1 total yards per game. They are third worst against the rush (146.8 yards per game) and 13th against the pass (209.3).
Chiefs/Chargers Betting Prediction
In the series, the Chiefs are 8-1 against the spread over the last nine meetings with the Chargers. The road team is 16-4-1 against the spread in their last 21 meetings. However, the Chiefs are 1-4-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between the teams.
This game is going to come down to strength on strength: Can the Chiefs stop the Chargers’ passing attack, and can the Chargers stop the Chiefs’ passing attack? It should be a great QB battle with Patrick Mahomes and Herbert.
We’ll take the Chargers +6.5 and the over 49.5.
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