Tuesday Night Elimination Game: Pelicans @ Warriors

The New Orleans Pelicans look to keep their collective heads above water, as they take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night.  The game starts at 9:30 pm central. Golden State took the first 2 games at home, then split 2 at New Orleans. This gives Golden State a 3-1 series lead.  This fact makes each game a “win or go home” scenario for New Orleans. Golden State went 58-24 on the year, a record good enough for the 2 seed in the hotly contested Western Conference.  New Orleans, on the other hand, went 48-34, which earned them the 6 seed. Golden State is heavily favored to win this game: at -11.5.  

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Golden State Warriors

The game plan doesn’t seem to have changed for Golden State.  After all, why did something that isn’t broken. The same guys are getting it done that have been from game 1 of the season.

Kevin Durant has averaged 28.4 points per game these playoffs.  He has also pulled down a key 8.2 rebounds, which he will need to continue to do.  What Durant hasn’t been doing well, however, is shooting the ball well from downtown.  Durant is only shooting 28.1% from 3.

Steph Curry is one of the other players getting it done for Golden State.  Curry is putting up 23.3 points per game, while shooting 43.1% from the field (including 42.9% from 3).  

Klay Thompson rounds out the three man wrecking crew.  Thompson is putting up 21 points per game.  The efficient scoring these three are putting up will need to continue for Golden State to clinch the series.

New Orleans: Feed Davis

Anthony Davis has been anything but a disappointment for New Orleans.  He is averaging 29.6 points per game. Perhaps his most impressive stat of this postseason is the fact that he is shooting 52.2% from the floor.  These stats point to a dominating paint presence from one of the best big men in the league. I see him taking it upon himself to make sure he is giving everything he can to help his team.  

The captain of the ship for New Orleans has been Jrue Holiday.  Holiday has been putting up 23.3 points per game on 51.7% from the field (very high for a guard).  Rajon Rondo, while only scoring just over 10 points per game, has had impressive stats as well.  He has 8.3 rebounds and 12.9 assists, huge numbers from a point guard.

Warriors Fail to Meet the Huge Spread

I have no doubt that, barring an earth shaking performance from Davis, the Warriors will take the opportunity to put New Orleans away at home.  However, an 11.5 point spread is a lot to ask from any team playing a great team like New Orleans (not to mention New Orleans is fighting to keep their season alive).  I just don’t see anything other than a closely contested, hard fought game with maybe a 5 point margin when the horn sounds. Take New Orleans at + 11.5.

  • Bet the New Orleans Pelicans +11.5
  • Bet on the Golden State Warriors -11.5
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