New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick

On Thursday night, the New York Mets will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the finale of a four-game series in Los Angeles. The Dodgers have won two of the first three and are 37-19 on the year, while the Mets are 27-28 on the season.

Last Time Out

On Wednesday, the Mets led 8-3 after 6 1/2 innings but allowed the Dodgers to score six runs in the final three frames, including four in the ninth, to steal the victory. Noah Syndergaard was on the bump for the Mets and went six innings, allowing three runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out five. The bullpen came in and allowed six runs in just 2 1/3 innings on eight hits and two walks and did not strike anyone out. Pete Alonso had a monster game, going 3 for 4 with two home runs and driving in four. Dominic Smith went 3 for 5 with a homer and three runs scored. Amed Rosario chipped in a solo shot. Adeiny Hechavarria went 2 for 4 with two RBI.

Walker Buehler had a rough start, going just five innings, allowing five runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out six. The bullpen gave up three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over four innings. Joc Pederson and Max Muncy hit back-to-back solo home runs to lead off the ninth and cut the deficit to one as both went 2 for 5. Justin Turner followed with a double, as he went 3 for 5 with two RBI. Bellinger followed with a game-tying double, and then Alex Verdugo was the hero with a walk-off sacrifice fly to win it. Corey Seager went 3 for 4 with a solo home run.

Pitching Matchup

Jason Vargas will be on the mound for the Mets and is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA in eight starts this season with a 1.57 WHIP and 23 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. He has not gone more than 5 1/3 innings in a single start this year and has only thrown two times in the month of May due to an injury.

None of the active Mets have faced Ryu in their careers. Yoenis Cespedes is the only one, and he is injured. The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 but are just 12-19 on the road this season.

Hyun-Jin Ryu will make the start for the Dodgers. Ryu leads all of the major leagues in ERA at 1.65 and is making a strong case for the Cy Young Award early on. He is 7-1 in 10 starts with a 0.83 WHIP and 62 strikeouts in 65 1/3 innings. He has allowed just three runs in May over 38 innings and has not allowed a home run all month.

Only two Dodgers have seen Jason Vargas in his career. David Freese is 6 for 11 with a home run, while Russell Martin is just 1 for 9. The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 and are 21-7 at home this year.

Prediction

The Dodgers are -280. This game shouldn’t even be close. Vargas has not been good all year long, and the Dodgers will absolutely hammer him in this one. On the other side, Ryu is looking like the best pitcher in baseball and will shut down the Mets’ offense. Also, the Mets have been bad on the road, and the Dodgers have been one of the best at home. Take the Dodgers -1.5 (-140).

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