Quick Guide to Betting Super Bowl XLVII

by TJ Gill on February 2, 2013

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    There are no annual sporting events bigger than the Super Bowl, and this year’s championship game will be no different. More than 100 million people around the world tune in to watch most important sporting event of the year, with tens of millions of dollars being wagered at all the major sportsbooks in Las Vegas and abroad prior to kickoff.

    This Sunday’s game will feature 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick leading San Francisco against the gritty Joe Flacco of the Baltimore Ravens. The Niners will be looking to go 6 for 6 in Super Bowl contests, with the Ravens looking for their first title in more than a decade.

    Ahead of Super Bowl XLVII, the NFC leads the series with 25 wins to 21 wins for the AFC, while the Steelers (six wins), the Cowboys (five wins) and the 49ers (five wins) are the most successful teams in the history of the major event.

    San Francisco and Baltimore will contest Super Bowl XLVII in what has been tagged the “Harbaugh Bowl” because the 49ers and the Ravens are coached by the Harbaugh brothers, Jim and John. Neither the 49ers nor the Ravens have lost a Super Bowl so one of those proud records is guaranteed to fall.

    Betting on Super Bowl XLVII will be a little bit easier if you follow some of my simple tips and suggestions below.  You can also see our crazy Super Bowl prop bets article here if you’re looking to mix up your wagers a little bit in lieu of the big game.

    Betting the Points – 49ers or Ravens?

    Bookmakers favor San Francisco for Super Bowl XLVII but the betting public has forced them to reduce the start that they are giving Baltimore, with weight of money seeing the line move south. At kick-off time, the 49ers are likely to be around three-and-a-half point favorites. Bookmakers will not want to move to a flat three or past that mark.

    Both San Francisco and Baltimore have been victorious in 13 National Football League matches this season, although what makes the 49ers the go-to favorite is their tough defense and “jumbo” package offensive line used to block for running back Frank Gore and “pistol formation”-loving Colin Kaepernick at quarterback.

    Against the spread – a key statistic for bettors who bet on the main handicap line because, among other things, it can show that a team is underrated or overrated on a regular basis – San Francisco is 11-7-0 and Baltimore is 9-9-1.

    In terms of points, San Francisco games have gone over the total 11 times and under six times, with one push. Baltimore matches have gone over 10 times and under nine times. One can say that the 49ers are an over team.

    Now if it’s one thing bettors love, it’s got to be a TREND. There are so many trends out there that one can make a trend case for almost any eventuality but a couple of the hot trends that may sway Super Bowl XLVII gamblers are that San Francisco is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games on turf, while Baltimore is 4-1 against the spread in its last five matches versus a side with a winning record. In truth, many of the hottest pre-Super Bowl XLVII trends cancel out each other so there are very few obvious trend-driven picks.

    My pick: Ravens at +3.5 are a pretty popular choice given their performances against powerhouses Denver and New England on the road in the past 3 weeks. Bet on the TRUE dirty birds here and DON’T look back.

    Follow the Sharps on Early Money Betting

    Baltimore is on a roll, playing for National Football League Hall of Fame entrant-in-waiting Ray Lewis and coached by the better of the Harbaugh brothers. San Francisco coach Jim has said that he is half the coach his brother John is.  However, while the Ravens have certainly silenced their critics with decisive wins against Denver and New England – on the road no less – it is the streaking 49ers who are coming in just as hot on the NFC end.

    The sharps are seeing the game as San Francisco’s to lose. They have a unique quarterback in Colin Kaepernick and operate from a pistol formation that most defenses have been unable to contain over the last 2 months.  Compliment that with running back Frank Gore, a veteran core of wide receivers and one of the most feared D’s in the league, it’s really no surprise many sharps are backing the Niners to win the Super Bowl.

    My pick:  Super Bowl XLVII will be the second time that the Harbaugh brothers have coached against each other. John and Baltimore won the first battle and they can take out the second one as well. Back the Ravens to follow up their 2000 triumph.  The sharps have stepped in to back Baltimore against the spread, but the moneyline and overall favorite to win from most Vegas oddsmakers have San Francisco taking the Lombardi trophy back home to the Bay Area.

    Prop Bet Favorite – MVP of Super Bowl XLVII

    Super Bowls are synonymous for proposition bets as the bevy of United States of America-facing bookmakers use all kinds of exotic betting markets to compete for business on one of the busiest betting days of the year. There are hundreds of novelties from which to choose but the king of them is the Most Valuable Player Award that goes to the best player of the game.

    Packers quarterback Bart Starr was the Most Valuable Player of both Super Bowl I and Super Bowl II. He is also one of five multiple Most Valuable Player Award recipients, with the others being Joe Montana (three wins), Terry Bradshaw (two wins), Tom Brady (two wins) and Eli Manning (two wins).

    Quarterbacks such as Montana, Bradshaw, Brady, Manning and Starr have been the Most Valuable Player in 25 of the first 46 Super Bowls so, based on that data, the odds of Super Bowl XLVII’s main man being a quarterback are around the 5-6 mark. Running backs (seven), wide receivers (six), defensive ends (two), linebackers (two), safeties (two), cornerbacks (one), defensive tackles (one) and kick/punt returners (one) have won the other Super Bowl Most Valuable Player Awards.

    My pick:  If I WERE to bet this – and I’m not 100% certain I would – it would most likely go to Colin Kaepernick of the Niners. While I believe the game will be extremely close because of the defenses involved, “Kaep” has changed the way most D’s have looked at guarding that pistol formation that he and the 49ers will implementing throughout the game.

    I look for him to keep cool under pressure and find ways to advance the ball down the field, whether it be to his stud tight end Vernon Davis or veteran wideouts Randy Moss and Michael Crabtree. Oh, he sort of has one of the best running backs in the league backing him up too in Frank Gore, as well as one of the best defenses in the NFL over the past several years.

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