Losing in Waco wouldn’t doom No. 5 Kansas’ chances of winning the Big 12 regular-season championship. However, if the Jayhawks can complete the season sweep of No. 10 Baylor, it would hold a nearly insurmountable lead with only three games left in the conference schedule. Kansas has been an excellent team away from home, compiling a 6-2 true road game record with the Jayhawks only losses coming to ranked Texas and Texas Tech squads.
Baylor has won two straight but needed overtime to survive a 66-64 road win over Oklahoma State. The Bears are getting plenty of respect at home against Kansas, being pegged as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 149 points.
Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview
Kansas has been scraping out victories during its four-game winning streak. The Jayhawks, who lead the Big 12 and have the country’s 14th-best scoring offense by averaging 80 points per game, have been held below 80 points in three of those four games. Kansas did breakout in its last game, bludgeoning rival Kansas State 102-83 at home.
The Jayhawks do many things well, including pounding the glass. Jalen Wilson ranks third in the Big 12 by grabbing 7.2 rebounds per game, while David McCormack is fourth by averaging 7.0.
Opponents would like to see Ochai Agbaji struggle to shoot from the field, but it hasn’t happened much for the Kansas senior guard, who averages 20.2 points per game. Agbaji shoots 51 percent from the floor and 44.5 percent from the 3-point line, which ranks 5th nationally.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
Baylor folded while playing under the pressure of being in Allen Fieldhouse in early February. The Bears only shot 29.6 percent from the field and were limited to their second-lowest scoring total of the season in an 83-59 loss to Kansas.
But being at home may make a big difference for Baylor, which is 8-2 against ranked teams at home over the past three seasons. Adam Flagler and LJ Cryer lead the Bears’ in scoring, averaging 13.7 and 13.5 points per game, respectively.
Baylor’s success, though, has been built around limiting opponents from stretching the floor. Opposing teams only shoot 29.9 percent from the 3-point line against the Bears, which ranks Baylor’s defense as the 28th-best group in the country. Baylor also limits its opponents to 63 points per game, which is the 32nd best mark in the country.
Betting Prediction
Kansas is charging toward another Big 12 regular-season title, but this will be a tricky trip for the Jayhawks. Both of Kansas’ previous high-profile road tests against the top three teams in the Big 12 resulted in a three-point loss to Texas and an eight-point loss to Texas Tech.
Baylor, which is the defending national champion, will also be eager to prove the beatdown they took in Lawrence earlier this month was a fluke.
The Bears will be without forward Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua and Cryer being a game-time decision; Baylor will have its hands full trying to protect home court. Take the 3.5 with Kansas trying to put a stranglehold on the league.
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